Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.027718 0.029728 0.031823 0.034171 0.036735 0.039451 0.042552
2025-06-29 0.024087 0.026902 0.029985 0.033621 0.037810 0.042501 0.048176
2025-07-06 0.022131 0.025490 0.029308 0.033995 0.039628 0.046223 0.054592
2025-07-13 0.020488 0.024181 0.028508 0.033992 0.040819 0.049112 0.060067
2025-07-20 0.019371 0.023349 0.028131 0.034366 0.042369 0.052419 0.066189
2025-07-27 0.018188 0.022315 0.027389 0.034165 0.043098 0.054645 0.070988
2025-08-03 0.017166 0.021396 0.026700 0.033939 0.043716 0.056693 0.075617
2025-08-10 0.016284 0.020589 0.026084 0.033734 0.044299 0.058673 0.080232
2025-08-17 0.015533 0.019899 0.025567 0.033602 0.044937 0.060721 0.085042
2025-08-24 0.014732 0.019095 0.024842 0.033127 0.045036 0.061974 0.088725
2025-08-31 0.013961 0.018289 0.024067 0.032522 0.044889 0.062829 0.091823
2025-09-07 0.013370 0.017696 0.023549 0.032243 0.045181 0.064319 0.095973
2025-09-14 0.012817 0.017137 0.023057 0.031979 0.045485 0.065857 0.100346
2025-09-21 0.012210 0.016475 0.022386 0.031414 0.045294 0.066608 0.103471
2025-09-28 0.011921 0.016248 0.022324 0.031745 0.046483 0.069580 0.110523
2025-10-05 0.011554 0.015891 0.022054 0.031739 0.047135 0.071715 0.116289
2025-10-12 0.011310 0.015702 0.022018 0.032082 0.048350 0.074832 0.124025
2025-10-19 0.010938 0.015308 0.021657 0.031896 0.048688 0.076493 0.129243
2025-10-26 0.010583 0.014925 0.021295 0.031689 0.048971 0.078062 0.134400
2025-11-02 0.010255 0.014568 0.020958 0.031500 0.049267 0.079661 0.139727
2025-11-09 0.009962 0.014255 0.020673 0.031379 0.049666 0.081454 0.145566
2025-11-16 0.009609 0.013837 0.020209 0.030942 0.049491 0.082196 0.149362
2025-11-23 0.009248 0.013392 0.019688 0.030385 0.049075 0.082465 0.152208